Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 57.23%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 23.14% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 2-1 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-23s would win this match.
