Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.72%) and 2-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City Under-23s would win this match.
