Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Aston Villa Under-23s had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.57%) and 0-2 (4.89%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City Under-23s would win this match.
