MX23RW : Saturday, December 28 16:14:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Jan 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
Pride Park Stadium

Derby U21s
0 - 1
Forest U21s


Fapetu (56'), Robinson (72'), Wheeldon (73')
Keilen (48'), Fapetu (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McAdam (90+6')
Hammond (29'), Norkett (87')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Nottingham Forest Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham U21s 2-1 Derby U21s
Friday, January 12 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 67.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 15.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
15.65% (0.235 0.23) 16.37% (0.129 0.13) 67.98% (-0.366 -0.37)
Both teams to score 67.45% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.31% (-0.152 -0.15)23.69% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.82% (-0.2 -0.2)43.18% (0.198 0.2)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (0.149 0.15)27.84% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.56% (0.191 0.19)63.44% (-0.191 -0.19)
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.48% (-0.102 -0.1)6.52% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.67% (-0.277 -0.28)24.33% (0.275 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 15.65%
    Nottingham Forest Under-21s 67.98%
    Draw 16.37%
Derby County Under-21sDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
2-1 @ 4.05% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.027 0.03)
1-0 @ 2.32% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.73% (0.03 0.03)
2-0 @ 1.49% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 15.65%
1-1 @ 6.34% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.15% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 1.82% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 16.37%
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 7.87% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.16% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 5.37% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 5.03% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.96% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 4.2% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 3.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.93% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-5 @ 2.29% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-5 @ 1.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.46%
1-6 @ 1.33% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-6 @ 1.04% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 4.58%
Total : 67.98%

Head to Head
Jan 27, 2023 7pm
Forest U21s
7-2
Derby U21s
Powell (9', 32'), Konate (35', 45+1'), Hammond (58'), Larsson (82')
Ibrahim (16'), Aghatise (30')
Oct 10, 2022 7pm
rhs 2.0
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