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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 19
Dec 16, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski Widzewa Lodz

Widzew Lodz
1 - 2
Szczecin

Alvarez (43')
Silva (10'), Kwiatkowski (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grosicki (45+2'), Koulouris (52')
Gorgon (41'), Wahlqvist (44')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Widzew Lodz and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 1-0 Widzew Lodz
Monday, December 11 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 3-3 Warta Poznan
Friday, December 8 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Widzew LodzDrawPogon Szczecin
34.57% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 25.74% (0.146 0.15) 39.69% (-0.236 -0.24)
Both teams to score 54.9% (-0.491 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.77% (-0.63699999999999 -0.64)49.22% (0.635 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.71% (-0.579 -0.58)71.28% (0.57600000000001 0.58)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (-0.255 -0.25)27.33% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.21% (-0.33 -0.33)62.78% (0.328 0.33)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (-0.41099999999999 -0.41)24.45% (0.409 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11% (-0.581 -0.58)58.89% (0.578 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Widzew Lodz 34.57%
    Pogon Szczecin 39.69%
    Draw 25.73%
Widzew LodzDrawPogon Szczecin
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.163 0.16)
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.43% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 34.57%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.172 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 9.41% (0.132 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.015999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.69%

Head to Head
Jul 30, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 2
Szczecin
2-1
Widzew Lodz
Zahovic (46'), Koulouris (64')
Koutris (37')
Pawlowski (4')
Nunes (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Rakow CzestochowaRakow25157337162152
2Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia25156447301751
3Lech Poznan25162747212650
4Pogon SzczecinSzczecin25134841281343
5Legia WarsawLegia25117748351340
6Gornik ZabrzeGornik2512493629740
7KS CracoviaCracovia2510874439538
8Motor Lublin2510693544-936
9Katowice2596103331233
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice258982626033
11Korona Kielce258982431-733
12Radomiak Radom2594123439-531
13Widzew Lodz2586112839-1130
14Puszcza Niepolomice2567122435-1125
15Stal Mielec2565142638-1223
16Zaglebie Lubin2565142138-1723
17Lechia GdanskGdansk2556142644-1821
18Slask Wroclaw2539132539-1418


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