Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 2
Jul 30, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Szczecin2 - 1Widzew Lodz
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Widzew Lodz.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Linfield 2-5 Szczecin
Thursday, July 27 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 27 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 3-2 Puszcza Niepolomice
Sunday, July 23 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, July 23 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Widzew Lodz |
47.72% ( -0.17) | 25.07% ( 0.16) | 27.21% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.55% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.63% ( -0.65) | 49.37% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.58% ( -0.59) | 71.42% ( 0.59) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.28% ( -0.34) | 20.71% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.67% ( -0.53) | 53.33% ( 0.54) |
| Widzew Lodz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.54% ( -0.33) | 32.45% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.02% ( -0.37) | 68.97% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
Pogon Szczecin 47.72%
Widzew Lodz 27.21%
Draw 25.07%
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Widzew Lodz |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.72% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.21% |
