Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 23
Mar 2, 2024 at 2pm UK
Arena Zabrze
Gornik2 - 1Jagiellonia
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Gornik Zabrze and Jagiellonia Bialystok.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 3-1 Gornik
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-1 Ruch Chorzow
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
50
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gornik Zabrze in this match.
Result | ||
Gornik Zabrze | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
40.41% ( -0.47) | 24.65% ( 0.11) | 34.94% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 58.77% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.75% ( -0.47) | 44.24% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.38% ( -0.46) | 66.62% ( 0.45) |
Gornik Zabrze Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.1% ( -0.43) | 21.9% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.85% ( -0.66) | 55.15% ( 0.66) |
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.25% ( -0.01) | 24.75% ( 0.01) |