Slovakia

1 - 0

Estonia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 82.16%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 5.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.01%) and 1-0 (11.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.