Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hartlepool United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hartlepool United.
Result | ||
Tamworth | Draw | Hartlepool United |
32.5% ( 0.15) | 25.38% ( -0.03) | 42.12% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 55.55% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.87% ( 0.15) | 48.13% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.71% ( 0.14) | 70.29% ( -0.15) |
Tamworth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.91% ( 0.17) | 28.08% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.25% ( 0.22) | 63.75% ( -0.22) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.25% ( 0) | 22.75% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.57% ( 0.01) | 56.43% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Tamworth | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.5% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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