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National League | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamb Ground
Hartlepool United

Tamworth
0 - 1
Hartlepool


Tshikuna (60'), Acquaye (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Grey (82')
Dieseruvwe (8'), Stephenson (32'), Ferguson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Tamworth and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: York City 2-0 Tamworth
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Southend
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League

We said: Tamworth 1-2 Hartlepool United

If Hartlepool can play with the same tenacity and desire that they showed against Southend, it would not be surprising if they emerged as victors on Tuesday. However, Tamworth were able to cause Sutton difficulties in their opening game of the National League season, and they could prove to be stubborn opponents once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hartlepool United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hartlepool United.

Result
TamworthDrawHartlepool United
32.5% (0.145 0.15) 25.38% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 42.12% (-0.124 -0.12)
Both teams to score 55.55% (0.137 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.87% (0.154 0.15)48.13% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (0.142 0.14)70.29% (-0.149 -0.15)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (0.16900000000001 0.17)28.08% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.25% (0.216 0.22)63.75% (-0.221 -0.22)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25% (0.0049999999999955 0)22.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.57% (0.012 0.01)56.43% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 32.5%
    Hartlepool United 42.12%
    Draw 25.38%
TamworthDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.15% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.18% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.5%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 9.46% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 42.12%

How you voted: Tamworth vs Hartlepool

Tamworth
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Hartlepool United
66.7%
24
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green261410244212352
2York City24156348202851
3Barnet26156551302151
4Gateshead26145750351547
5Oldham AthleticOldham23128341231844
6Solihull MoorsSolihull2612594537841
7Rochdale22123734201439
8Halifax TownHalifax2510962924539
9AltrinchamAltrincham25108741301138
10Eastleigh2691163633338
11Yeovil TownYeovil27107103331237
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool259973130136
13Sutton UnitedSutton259793433134
14Southend UnitedSouthend258982927233
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red258894034632
16Tamworth2486102641-1530
17Woking2678112737-1029
18Aldershot TownAldershot26511103745-826
19Braintree TownBraintree2666142538-1324
20WealdstoneWealdstone2358102835-723
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2665153153-2223
22Fylde2464142950-2122
23Boston UnitedBoston2437142140-1916
24Ebbsfleet2718182063-4311


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