Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.49%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chesterfield in this match.