Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.