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Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2022 at 3.30am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
Vancouver Whitecaps

Portland
1 - 1
Vancouver

Mora (81' pen.)
van Rankin (44'), Zuparic (84'), Blanco (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
White (33')
Cavallini (46'), Raposo (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

Last Six:
Last Game: Seattle 0-3 Portland
Saturday, July 9 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps

Last Six:
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 Vancouver
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 3-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

 The Timbers look like a different team since the international break and are playing with a lot more fire than we saw at the start of the season, proving that they are still a tough team to play against. With Cubas likely sidelined for this encounter, that should allow the Timbers to play through the middle a lot easier and find their share of scoring opportunities, which we believe will be enough to earn them three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 16.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawVancouver Whitecaps
63.03% (-1.779 -1.78) 20.53% (0.603 0.6) 16.43% (1.176 1.18)
Both teams to score 53.03% (0.692 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (-0.444 -0.44)42.62% (0.443 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (-0.444 -0.44)65.02% (0.443 0.44)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.1% (-0.643 -0.64)12.9% (0.643 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.68% (-1.331 -1.33)39.32% (1.33 1.33)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.89% (1.238 1.24)39.11% (-1.238 -1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.17% (1.143 1.14)75.83% (-1.144 -1.14)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 63.03%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 16.43%
    Draw 20.53%
Portland TimbersDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-0 @ 10.58% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-0 @ 10.33% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.22% (-0.401 -0.4)
3-1 @ 6.78% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.7% (-0.302 -0.3)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.52% (-0.164 -0.16)
5-1 @ 1.42% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 63.03%
1-1 @ 9.7% (0.277 0.28)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.098 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.175 0.18)
3-3 @ 1% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.53%
0-1 @ 4.74% (0.248 0.25)
1-2 @ 4.55% (0.277 0.28)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.186 0.19)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 16.43%

How you voted: Portland vs Vancouver

Portland Timbers
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
Vancouver Whitecaps
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 3am
Vancouver
2-3
Portland
Dajome (76'), Gauld (90+6' pen.)
Asprilla (42' pen.), Niezgoda (60'), Chara (78')
Mabiala (6'), van Rankin (17'), Asprilla (43'), Bravo (90+3')
Oct 21, 2021 3am
Portland
2-3
Vancouver
Chara (15'), Asprilla (42')
Paredes (90+2')
Caicedo (63'), White (75'), Dajome (82' pen.)
White (90+2')
Sep 11, 2021 3am
Vancouver
0-1
Portland

Bikel (29'), Dajome (58')
Veselinovic (66' og.)
Moreno (90+3')
Apr 19, 2021 3am
Vancouver
1-0
Portland
Cavallini (49')
Veselinovic (20'), Baldisimo (64')

Zuparic (68')
Nov 2, 2020 3am
Portland
1-0
Vancouver
Chara (61')

Baldisimo (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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