The status of Carles Gil could play a big part in this encounter for New England, but despite all of their quality in the attacking third, the Revolution do not look comfortable when pressured in their own area of the field.
Philly know how to handle these pressure situations, and we believe their big three of Gazdag, Uhre and Carranza, along with the shot-stopping ability of Andre Blake, will power them into the next round.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
1.1) 
-1.65) 
