Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nimes would win this match.
