Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Monaco |
30.63% | 24.54% | 44.83% |
Both teams to score 57.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.87% | 45.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.52% | 67.48% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.18% | 27.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.59% | 63.41% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.76% | 20.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.43% | 52.57% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 7.36% 1-0 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.63% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 9.19% 0-1 @ 9% 0-2 @ 7.19% 1-3 @ 4.9% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 3.13% 1-4 @ 1.96% 0-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.87% Total : 44.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |