Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.