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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
49.24% (![]() | 22.41% (![]() | 28.34% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.62% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.49% (![]() | 36.5% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.35% (![]() | 58.65% (![]() |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.82% (![]() | 15.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.21% (![]() | 43.79% (![]() |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.01% (![]() | 24.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.36% (![]() | 59.64% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 9.35% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.15% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 4.09% Total : 49.24% | 1-1 @ 9.92% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.88% ( ![]() Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.41% | 1-2 @ 6.88% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 3% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.56% Total : 28.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Heidenheim | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
5 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Wolfsburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
11 | Hoffenheim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
14 | Stuttgart | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Augsburg | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
16 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | St Pauli | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
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