Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica2 - 2Rangers
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 5-0 Benfica
Sunday, March 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rangers 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Benfica 2-2 Rangers
Another closely-fought contest with plenty of goalmouth action could be on the cards between these two sides, who will be desperate to return to winning ways following disappointing domestic defeats last weekend. Taking into account Benfica's impressive Europa League home form and Rangers' record in Portugal, we can see an entertaining score draw played out in Lisbon to leave the tie finely poised ahead of next week's second leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Rangers |
49.17% ( -0.18) | 22.13% ( 0.05) | 28.7% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 64.96% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
