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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Northampton Town

Swindon
1 - 2
Northampton

Williams (61')
Reed (57'), Blake-Tracy (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fox (68'), Pinnock (88')
Sherring (62'), Guthrie (62')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Swindon
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two

Northampton Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, September 24 at 2pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNorthampton Town
44% (0.083000000000006 0.08) 26.66% (0.023 0.02) 29.34% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 50.06% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.42% (-0.133 -0.13)54.58% (0.135 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07% (-0.109 -0.11)75.92% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)24.65% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)59.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)33.55% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8% (-0.161 -0.16)70.2% (0.163 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 43.99%
    Northampton Town 29.34%
    Draw 26.65%
Swindon TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.58% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.79% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 43.99%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 8.27% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.34%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Swindon
5-2
Northampton
McKirdy (28', 51', 55', 66'), Simpson (60')
Hunt (49'), Kesler (88')
Hoskins (37'), Guthrie (50')
McWilliams (18'), Sowerby (34'), Koiki (62')
Sep 18, 2021 2pm
Northampton
1-1
Swindon
Horsfall (83')
Rose (43'), Sowerby (44'), Hoskins (68'), McWilliams (84')
Simpson (57')
Conroy (52')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Swindon
2-1
Northampton
Twine (45+2'), Pitman (69')
Palmer (51'), Grounds (67')
Watson (26')
Mills (64'), Morris (75')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Northampton
2-1
Swindon
Missilou (7'), Rose (28')
Bolger (51'), Missilou (62'), Hoskins (86'), Smith (90+1')
Smith (76' pen.)
Jaiyesimi (65'), Grounds (81')
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Northampton
0-1
Swindon

Goode (59'), Oliver (63'), Jones (68')
Lyden (77')
Doyle (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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