Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 49.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 25.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.