Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.