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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Barnsley

Stevenage
2 - 1
Barnsley

Reid (45+2'), Butler (51')
List (75'), Thompson (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Phillips (30')
Durand de Gevigney (12'), McCart (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Barnsley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-1 Barnsley

The two sides have enjoyed similar first halves to the League One season, and while Barnsley boast more quality, the hosts have continuously punched above their weight this term and should at least be able to take a share of the spoils on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawBarnsley
37.07% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 26.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 36.43% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.55% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69% (0.036000000000001 0.04)52.31% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (0.032 0.03)74% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68% (0.040000000000006 0.04)27.32% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23% (0.049999999999997 0.05)62.77% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3%27.69% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75%63.25%
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 37.07%
    Barnsley 36.43%
    Draw 26.5%
StevenageDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 37.07%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.43%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Barnsley

Stevenage
36.4%
Draw
29.5%
Barnsley
34.1%
44
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Barnsley
2-1
Stevenage
McAtee (32'), Kane (70')
Connell (66'), Kane (81'), Cotter (90+7')
Wildin (4')
Butler (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe23155349252450
2Birmingham CityBirmingham22155238172150
3Wrexham24146436181848
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield22134536191743
5Reading2312473933640
6Barnsley2411673633339
7Stockport CountyStockport24108636251138
8Leyton Orient2310493122934
9Mansfield TownMansfield2210482925434
10Bolton WanderersBolton2210483333034
11Charlton AthleticCharlton229672721633
12Lincoln CityLincoln248792830-231
13Exeter CityExeter2394102729-231
14Stevenage228681820-230
15Blackpool237883134-329
16Wigan AthleticWigan227692120127
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham227692123-227
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2374124145-425
19Northampton TownNorthampton2458112339-1623
20Bristol Rovers2364132138-1722
21Crawley TownCrawley2255122440-1620
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2345142443-1917
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2345142242-2017
24Burton Albion2328132037-1714


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