Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.