We said: Portsmouth 1-0 MK Dons
A clash that could shape the playoff positions come the end of the campaign, Portsmouth will be hoping that a victory can cut the gap to those ahead of them.
With the benefit of home support, expect Portsmouth to arrest their recent woes against MK Dons and pick up three points this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.