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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Mansfield Town |
46.84% (![]() | 24.98% (![]() | 28.18% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.62% (![]() | 48.38% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.48% (![]() | 70.52% (![]() |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.3% (![]() | 20.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.7% (![]() | 53.29% (![]() |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.8% (![]() | 31.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.46% (![]() | 67.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 10.17% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.33% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.01% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.21% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.84% | 1-1 @ 11.84% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.46% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.44% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.52% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 66 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Wrexham | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 50 |
6 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 49 |
7 | Leyton Orient | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 47 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Reading | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 46 |
10 | Barnsley | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 43 |
11 | Blackpool | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 40 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 40 |
13 | Stevenage | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 40 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 38 |
15 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 34 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 33 |
18 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 32 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 32 |
20 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 30 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 27 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 27 |
23 | Burton Albion | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 26 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 23 |
> League One Full Table |