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League One | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Mansfield Town

Bolton
3 - 1
Mansfield

Charles (75'), Adeboyejo (80'), McAtee (85')
Collins (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boateng (34')
Bowery (46'), Evans (59'), Boateng (59'), Oshilaja (90+1')
Boateng (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Bolton
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One

Mansfield Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Mansfield Town

 Mansfield are on a poor run of form in the league, having lost three and drawn one of their last four, and with Bolton having avoided defeat in their last seven home games, we believe the hosts will win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawMansfield Town
46.84% (0.278 0.28) 24.98% (0.11 0.11) 28.18% (-0.388 -0.39)
Both teams to score 54.56% (-0.629 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.62% (-0.7 -0.7)48.38% (0.7 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.48% (-0.643 -0.64)70.52% (0.64400000000001 0.64)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (-0.163 -0.16)20.69% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.7% (-0.261 -0.26)53.29% (0.261 0.26)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8% (-0.64999999999999 -0.65)31.2% (0.652 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46% (-0.765 -0.77)67.54% (0.765 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 46.84%
    Mansfield Town 28.18%
    Draw 24.98%
Bolton WanderersDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.17% (0.241 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.01% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.21% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 46.84%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.185 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 28.18%

How you voted: Bolton vs Mansfield

Bolton Wanderers
78.0%
Draw
15.3%
Mansfield Town
6.8%
59
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Bolton
1-1
Mansfield
(Aggregate 1-1 | Bolton win 5-4 on penalties)
Thomason (68')
Evatt (29'), Johnston (39'), McAtee (41')
Keillor-Dunn (83')
MacDonald (28'), Oshilaja (67'), Boateng (78'), Keillor-Dunn (90+3')
Feb 17, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 26
Mansfield
2-3
Bolton
Clarke (65'), Reid (72')
Charsley (2'), Perch (11')
John (79'), Benning (85' og.), Gnahoua (89')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 11
Bolton
1-1
Mansfield
Sarcevic (90')
Lapslie (57')
Lapslie (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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