Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 88.76%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 2.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.56%) and 4-0 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.93%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (1.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.