Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 54.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.