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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 at 10.30am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
1 - 1
Kashima Antlers

Ezequiel (55')
Ben Khalifa (8'), Morishima (67'), Ezequiel (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sekigawa (5')
Pituca (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kashima Antlers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League

Kashima Antlers

All competitions
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League

We said: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Kashima Antlers

 Although Sanfrecce Hiroshima have lost their last four matches, they boast an impressive head-to-head record against Saturday's opponents. They have won their last three meetings with Kashima, including a 2-1 victory in the reverse fixture, and we think that they will draw upon that experience to claim another narrow win this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Kashima Antlers had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Kashima Antlers win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawKashima Antlers
50.83% (0.45500000000001 0.46) 26.09% (-0.117 -0.12) 23.08% (-0.338 -0.34)
Both teams to score 46.72% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.57% (0.142 0.14)56.43% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.56% (0.114 0.11)77.44% (-0.113 -0.11)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (0.259 0.26)22.28% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (0.388 0.39)55.73% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.11% (-0.241 -0.24)39.89% (0.242 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.45% (-0.223 -0.22)76.55% (0.22200000000001 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50.81%
    Kashima Antlers 23.09%
    Draw 26.09%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 13.34% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.01% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 50.81%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.89% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.75% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 23.09%

How you voted: Hiroshima vs Kashima Antlers

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Kashima Antlers
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 7am
Gameweek 6
Kashima Antlers
1-2
Hiroshima
Aug 6, 2022 10am
Gameweek 24
Kashima Antlers
0-2
Hiroshima

Misao (90+5')
Kawamura (84'), Ezequiel (90+5')
Ben Khalifa (7'), Araki (40'), Fujii (45')
May 7, 2022 6am
Gameweek 12
Hiroshima
3-0
Kashima Antlers
Nov 3, 2021 6am
Gameweek 35
Hiroshima
1-4
Kashima Antlers
Ezequiel (34')
Fujii (45+2'), Nogami (45+5'), Sasaki (65')
Arthur (3', 50'), Tsunemoto (28'), Araki (71' pen.)
Sekigawa (45+5')
Mar 13, 2021 7am
Gameweek 4
Kashima Antlers
1-1
Hiroshima
Araki (69')
Silva (26'), Sugioka (90+4')
Asano (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035
> J1 League Full Table


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