Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.