Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rugby Town win with a probability of 61.82%. A win for Wolverhampton Casuals had a probability of 19.65% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rugby Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Casuals win was 2-1 (4.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rugby Town would win this match.