Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Long Melford and Downham Town.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Downham Town win with a probability of 54.41%. A win for Long Melford had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Downham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.24%) and 0-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Long Melford win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Downham Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Long Melford | Draw | Downham Town |
24.32% ( -0.16) | 21.27% ( -0.01) | 54.41% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 63.82% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.44% ( -0.1) | 34.55% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.51% ( -0.11) | 56.49% ( 0.11) |
Long Melford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.22% ( -0.17) | 26.78% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.93% ( -0.23) | 62.06% ( 0.23) |
Downham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.16% ( 0.02) | 12.84% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.8% ( 0.04) | 39.2% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Long Melford 24.32%
Downham Town 54.41%
Draw 21.27%
Long Melford | Draw | Downham Town |
2-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.53% 2-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 24.32% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.21% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 54.41% |
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Long Melford
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-15 04:34:52
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 47 |
2 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 41 |
3 | Arsenal | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 40 |
4 | Chelsea | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 35 |
7 | Bournemouth | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 34 |
8 | Aston Villa | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 32 |
9 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
10 | Brentford | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 28 |
12 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 26 |
13 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 24 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 21 |
16 | Everton | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 44 | -32 | 6 |
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