Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between The New Saints and Astana.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Saints 5-0 Flint Town
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Astana 1-0 Backa Topola
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Conference League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | New Saints | 29 | 2.90 | Bradley |
| 2 | Pen-y-Bont | 23 | 1.77 | Pritchard |
| 3 | Caernarfon | 21 | 1.62 | Clarke |
| 4 | Barry | 19 | 1.46 | Hulbert |
| 5 | Newtown | 19 | 1.46 | Williams |
| 6 | Bala Town | 18 | 1.38 | Downes |
| 7 | Cardiff MU | 18 | 1.38 | Reynolds |
| 8 | Flint Town | 15 | 1.15 | Reeves |
| 9 | Haverfordwest | 15 | 1.15 | Ahmun |
| 10 | Connah's Quay | 14 | 1.17 | Hughes |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 10 | 0.91 | Jenkins |
| 12 | Aberystwyth | 9 | 0.69 | Evans |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a The New Saints win with a probability of 67.94%. A draw has a probability of 18.6% and a win for Astana has a probability of 13.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.8%), while for an Astana win it is 0-1 (3.97%).
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Astana |
67.94% ( -2.63) | 18.65% ( 1.23) | 13.41% ( 1.41) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
