Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 6pm UK
Lerkendal Stadion
Rosenborg2 - 1Hearts
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Rosenborg and Hearts.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Haugesund 1-2 Rosenborg
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-2 Hearts
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 48.21%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.
Result | ||
Rosenborg | Draw | Hearts |
48.21% ( 0.18) | 24.35% ( -0.06) | 27.44% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 56.1% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.89% ( 0.2) | 46.11% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.59% ( 0.19) | 68.41% ( -0.19) |
Rosenborg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.79% ( 0.15) | 19.21% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.1% ( 0.25) | 50.9% ( -0.25) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.43% ( 0.02) | 30.57% ( -0.01) |