MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 11:26:16| >> :60:1633:1633:
Lillestrom
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK
Åråsen Stadion
Royal Antwerp

Lillestrom
1 - 3
Antwerp

Knudsen (45+3')
Fridjonsson (34'), Ibrahimaj (48')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Almeida (5'), Nainggolan (50', 86')
Janssen (62'), Gerkens (69'), Valencia (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Lillestrom and Royal Antwerp, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarpsborg 0-2 Lillestrom
Sunday, July 31 at 2.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Antwerp 1-0 Zulte
Sunday, July 31 at 8pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Lillestrom 1-2 Royal Antwerp

The teams head into the clash on an impressive run of results which will give them huge confidence that they can come out on top. We are anticipating a keenly-contested affair with goals at both ends and a narrow win for the away side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.03%) and 0-1 (4.9%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Royal Antwerp would win this match.

Result
LillestromDrawRoyal Antwerp
37.33% (0.028000000000006 0.03) 21.78% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 40.88% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 70.17% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.41% (0.145 0.14)29.59% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.3% (0.175 0.17)50.69% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06% (0.073999999999998 0.07)16.94% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.98% (0.133 0.13)47.01% (-0.136 -0.14)
Royal Antwerp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (0.058999999999997 0.06)15.51% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57% (0.111 0.11)44.42% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Lillestrom 37.33%
    Royal Antwerp 40.88%
    Draw 21.78%
LillestromDrawRoyal Antwerp
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.67% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.26% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.012 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.17% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 37.33%
1-1 @ 8.69% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 7.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.64% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 21.78%
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 4.9% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.47% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.34% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32%
3-4 @ 1.23% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 40.88%

How you voted: Lillestrom vs Antwerp

Lillestrom
38.5%
Draw
25.0%
Royal Antwerp
36.5%
52
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!