Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 6pm UK
Nacionalinės futbolo akademijos stadionas
Hegelmann Litauen0 - 5Shkupi
FT(HT: 0-3)
Cephas (11', 45+1', 56', 62'), Putita (23')
Sampaio (43'), Timovski (58')
Sampaio (43'), Timovski (58')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Hegelmann Litauen and Shkupi.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkupi win with a probability of 56.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Hegelmann Litauen had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shkupi win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Hegelmann Litauen win it was 1-0 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shkupi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hegelmann Litauen | Draw | Shkupi |
19.54% ( -0.17) | 23.88% ( -0.02) | 56.57% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 48.32% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
