Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Tromso IL had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Tromso IL win it was 2-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.