Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Haugesund would win this match.
