Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Viking FK had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Viking FK win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Haugesund would win this match.