Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sandefjord win with a probability of 45.9%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sandefjord win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 0-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sandefjord would win this match.