Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 15.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valerenga Fotball would win this match.