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EFL Cup
Sutton United
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Walton Road Stadium
Cambridge United

Sutton
3 - 2
Cambridge

Smith (38'), Beautyman (82' pen.)
FT
(aet)
Okenabirhie (18', 60' pen.)
Sutton win 6-5 on penalties
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Sutton United and Cambridge United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Sutton 5-1 Notts County
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%).

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawCambridge United
40.58% (0.00099999999999767 0) 26.18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 33.24%
Both teams to score 53.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.65%51.35% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.83%73.17% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42%59.58%
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86%65.14%
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 40.58%
    Cambridge United 33.24%
    Draw 26.17%
Sutton UnitedDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 8.97% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.66%
0-2 @ 5.52%
1-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.24%

How you voted: Sutton vs Cambridge

Sutton United
20.0%
Draw
50.0%
Cambridge United
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2017 2pm
First Round
Cambridge
1-0
Sutton
Ibehre (45')
Maris (17')
Maris (40')

Lafayette (86')
rhs 2.0
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