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Championship header 2

League Two
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Notts County

Sutton
5 - 1
Notts County

Kizzi (2'), Patrick (23', 51'), Beautyman (63'), Smith (78')
Eastmond (5'), Milsom (6'), Goodliffe (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
McGoldrick (69')
Langstaff (4'), Bostock (37'), Baldwin (74')
Stone (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-3 Millwall
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, July 15 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Sutton United 0-2 Notts County

 Notts County racked up an incredible 107 points in the National League last season, and fifth-tier sides have a history of adapting well to life in League Two, with the likes of Tranmere Rovers and Bristol Rovers achieving back-to-back promotions in recent years. Williams has also strengthened his squad considerably with some high-profile signings, so we expect them to get their season off to the perfect start against a Sutton United side that was very poor at the back end of the previous season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-0 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawNotts County
20.68% (-3.184 -3.18) 22.32% (0.159 0.16) 57% (3.026 3.03)
Both teams to score 55% (-4.994 -4.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.11% (-4.561 -4.56)43.89% (4.564 4.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.72% (-4.61 -4.61)66.28% (4.614 4.61)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.84% (-5.412 -5.41)35.16% (5.415 5.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09% (-6.097 -6.1)71.91% (6.099 6.1)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.82% (-0.574 -0.57)15.18% (0.577 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.21% (-1.098 -1.1)43.79% (1.101 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 20.68%
    Notts County 57%
    Draw 22.31%
Sutton UnitedDrawNotts County
1-0 @ 5.58% (0.312 0.31)
2-1 @ 5.5% (-0.646 -0.65)
2-0 @ 2.92% (-0.277 -0.28)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.567 -0.57)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.583 -0.58)
3-0 @ 1.02% (-0.274 -0.27)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 20.68%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.994 0.99)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.728 -0.73)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.398 -0.4)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.31%
0-1 @ 10.06% (1.703 1.7)
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.166 0.17)
0-2 @ 9.49% (1.445 1.45)
1-3 @ 6.23% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.96% (0.804 0.8)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.534 -0.53)
1-4 @ 2.94% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.81% (0.329 0.33)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.288 -0.29)
1-5 @ 1.11% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.06% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 57%

How you voted: Sutton vs Notts County

Sutton United
25.0%
Draw
0.0%
Notts County
75.0%
16
Head to Head
May 4, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 51
Notts County
3-2
Sutton
Rodrigues (8', 90+4' pen.), Wootton (48')
Reeves (13'), Kelly-Evans (40'), Miller (49'), Rawlinson (90')
Kelly-Evans (67')
Olaofe (20'), Bugiel (62')
Oct 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Sutton
0-1
Notts County

Randall (88')
Wootton (90+4')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 30
Notts County
1-1
Sutton
Thomas (14')
Rose (82')
Beautyman (76')
John (56'), Ajiboye (90')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 12
Sutton
1-1
Notts County
Beautyman (11')
Beautyman (76'), Collins (92')
Wootton (52')
McCrory (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall26184452262658
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe271210534231146
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
4Port Vale2712963328545
5AFC Wimbledon25135737191844
6Notts County26128642271544
7Bradford CityBradford26128637271044
8Salford City2612683023742
9Grimsby Town27122133744-738
10Chesterfield269984031936
11Bromley2681173632435
12MK Dons26105113937235
13Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2697103639-334
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood258983331233
16BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
17Gillingham2594122326-331
18Swindon TownSwindon28710113542-731
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2885152338-1529
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2577113343-1028
21Newport CountyNewport2575133345-1226
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2668121940-2126
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2656152140-1921
24Morecambe2655162241-1920
> League Two Full Table


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