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Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 14, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Estudiantes

Nacional
0 - 0
Estudiantes


Candido (39'), Coelho (47'), Castro (53')
FT

Morel (29'), Diaz (59')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Nacional and Estudiantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

Last Six:
Last Game: Danubio 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Nacional vs. Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Estudiantes

Last Six:
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Gimnasia
Sunday, June 5 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Aldosivi vs. Estudiantes
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawEstudiantes
35.45%25.44%39.11%
Both teams to score 56.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21%47.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02%69.98%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87%26.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.8%61.19%
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89%24.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.59%58.41%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 35.45%
    Estudiantes 39.11%
    Draw 25.44%
NacionalDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 8.46%
2-1 @ 8.07%
2-0 @ 5.67%
3-1 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 2.57%
3-0 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 35.45%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.3%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 8.96%
1-2 @ 8.56%
0-2 @ 6.37%
1-3 @ 4.06%
0-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.72%
1-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.08%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 39.11%

How you voted: Nacional vs Estudiantes

Nacional
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Estudiantes
60.0%
5
Head to Head
May 24, 2018 11.15pm
Estudiantes
3-1
Nacional
Otero (62' pen., 90' pen.), Melano (69')
Brana (34'), Lattanzio (36'), Desabato (45'), Dubarbier (56'), Melano (86'), Otero (91')
Brana (80')
Zunino (4')
Bergessio (61'), Oliva (64'), Polenta (89')
Bergessio (75'), Oliva (95')
Feb 28, 2018 10.15pm
Nacional
0-0
Estudiantes

Zunino (57'), Fucile (78'), Corujo (82')

Gimenez (36'), Brana (52')
rhs 2.0
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