Chinese Super League | Gameweek 9
Jul 7, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Meixian Tsang Hin-chi Stadium
We said: Beijing Guoan 1-1 Meizhou Hakka
Meizhou Hakka appears to have settled into the big leagues and will head into this matchup with renewed confidence. While they face a spirited Beijing Guoan side who are unbeaten in seven consecutive outings, we predict they will do just enough to leave with a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 47.01% . A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.93%) . The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (8.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result Beijing Guoan Draw Meizhou Hakka 26.5% ( 0.43) 26.49% ( -0.03) 47.01% ( -0.4)
Both teams to score 48.71% ( 0.41)
44.57% ( 0.36) 55.43% ( -0.36)
23.38% ( 0.3) 76.62% ( -0.29)
63.73% ( 0.56) 36.27% ( -0.56)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.95% ( 0.56) 73.05% ( -0.56)
76.43% ( -0.03) 23.57% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 42.36% ( -0.04) 57.64% ( 0.04)
Beijing Guoan 26.5%
Meizhou Hakka 47.01%
Draw 26.49%
Beijing Guoan Draw Meizhou Hakka 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.5% 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.49% 0-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 47.01%
How you voted: Beijing Guoan vs Meizhou Hakka
Beijing Guoan
Draw
Meizhou Hakka
10
rhs 2.0
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