Beijing Guoan

4 - 1

Shenzhen

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.