Hull City

4 - 1

Cardiff

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.