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Champions League
Red Star Belgrade
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitić

Red Star
5 - 0
Pyunik

Bukari (29', 44', 70'), Kangwa (33'), Mitrovic (77')
Katai (25'), Dragovic (39'), Rodic (89')
Rodic (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Gonzalez (80'), Kovalenko (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Red Star Belgrade and FC Pyunik, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star Belgrade

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Last Game: Red Star 2-1 Rangers
Thursday, March 17 at 5.45pm in Europa League
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FC Pyunik

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Last Game: Dudelange 1-4 Pyunik
Tuesday, July 26 at 6.30pm in Champions League
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We said: Red Star Belgrade 3-1 FC Pyunik

 With confidence high in the camp of the visitors, it would be naive to write them off in this tie. However, while we are backing Pyunik to get on the scoresheet in Belgrade, Red Star are the clear favourites and should head into the reverse fixture in control. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 20.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a FC Pyunik win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.

Result
Red Star BelgradeDrawFC Pyunik
55.01% (-0.205 -0.2) 24.21% (-0.244 -0.24) 20.79% (0.455 0.46)
Both teams to score 49.22% (1.361 1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.35% (1.473 1.47)51.65% (-1.469 -1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.57% (1.266 1.27)73.43% (-1.262 -1.26)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.33% (0.483 0.48)18.67% (-0.478 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50% (0.801 0.8)50% (-0.797 -0.8)
FC Pyunik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.52% (1.324 1.32)39.48% (-1.32 -1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83% (1.208 1.21)76.17% (-1.203 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Red Star Belgrade 55.01%
    FC Pyunik 20.79%
    Draw 24.2%
Red Star BelgradeDrawFC Pyunik
1-0 @ 12.37% (-0.54 -0.54)
2-0 @ 10.38% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.81% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.4% (0.125 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.145 0.15)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.086 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 55.01%
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.37% (-0.442 -0.44)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.194 0.19)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.2%
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-2 @ 5.34% (0.154 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.18% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.107 0.11)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 20.79%

How you voted: Red Star vs Pyunik

Red Star Belgrade
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
FC Pyunik
11.1%
9
rhs 2.0
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