Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.