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Celtic logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Celtic Park
Feyenoord

Celtic
2 - 1
Feyenoord

Palma (33' pen.), Lagerbielke (90+1')
Johnston (22'), Taylor (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Minteh (82')
Zerrouki (31'), Maduro (44'), Minteh (60'), Wieffer (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Celtic and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 Celtic
Sunday, December 10 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Feyenoord 3-1 Volendam
Thursday, December 7 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Celtic 1-2 Feyenoord

Not only are Celtic keen to quickly put aside their disappointing loss to Kilmarnock last weekend, but the Hoops supporters are desperate to see their club claim their first Champions League home win in a decade to end the group stage on a high. Celtic impressed on home soil against both Lazio and Atletico Madrid, albeit failing to win either match, and Feyenoord's poor away record in the Champions League bodes well for the hosts, but we believe that the form of goal machine Gimenez will inspire the visitors to victory in Glasgow. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.5%) and 1-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Celtic in this match.

Result
CelticDrawFeyenoord
44.7% (-0.215 -0.22) 21.84% (0.572 0.57) 33.46% (-0.36 -0.36)
Both teams to score 68.91% (-2.406 -2.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.16% (-3.051 -3.05)30.84% (3.048 3.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.8% (-3.717 -3.72)52.19% (3.714 3.71)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (-1.257 -1.26)14.62% (1.254 1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.27% (-2.468 -2.47)42.73% (2.464 2.46)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.71% (-1.61 -1.61)19.29% (1.606 1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.97% (-2.716 -2.72)51.03% (2.714 2.71)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 44.7%
    Feyenoord 33.46%
    Draw 21.84%
CelticDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.286 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.42% (0.666 0.67)
2-0 @ 5.21% (0.426 0.43)
3-2 @ 4.52% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-0 @ 3.34% (0.131 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-2 @ 2.18% (-0.249 -0.25)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.19% (-0.207 -0.21)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 44.7%
1-1 @ 8.92% (0.682 0.68)
2-2 @ 7.06% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-0 @ 2.82% (0.457 0.46)
3-3 @ 2.48% (-0.301 -0.3)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.84%
1-2 @ 7.34% (0.203 0.2)
0-1 @ 4.64% (0.546 0.55)
1-3 @ 4.03% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.87% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.271 0.27)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-4 @ 1.02% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 33.46%

How you voted: Celtic vs Feyenoord

Celtic
Draw
Feyenoord
Celtic
25.4%
Draw
19.0%
Feyenoord
55.6%
126
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Feyenoord
2-0
Celtic
Stengs (45+2'), Jahanbakhsh (76')
Maduro (56')

Lagerbielke (31'), McGregor (36')
Lagerbielke (63'), Thiago Holm (68')
rhs 2.0
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