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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Dortmund logo

B. Leverkusen
3 - 4
Dortmund

Wirtz (9'), Schick (45+1'), Diaby (55')
Wirtz (60'), Frimpong (70'), Odilon (75'), Diaby (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Braut Haaland (37', 77' pen.), Brandt (49'), Guerreiro (71')
Meunier (20'), Braut Haaland (60'), Wolf (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
30.84%23.54%45.62%
Both teams to score 61.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.61%40.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.23%62.77%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66%25.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87%60.13%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99%18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.12%48.87%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 30.84%
    Borussia Dortmund 45.62%
    Draw 23.53%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.37%
1-0 @ 6.26%
2-0 @ 4.3%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.84%
1-1 @ 10.73%
2-2 @ 6.32%
0-0 @ 4.56%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 9.21%
0-1 @ 7.82%
0-2 @ 6.71%
1-3 @ 5.26%
0-3 @ 3.83%
2-3 @ 3.61%
1-4 @ 2.26%
0-4 @ 1.64%
2-4 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 45.62%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen
46.5%
Draw
18.6%
Borussia Dortmund
34.9%
129
Head to Head
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Dortmund
3-1
B. Leverkusen
Braut Haaland (5', 84'), Reus (51')
Bender (89' pen.)
Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Dortmund
Diaby (14'), Wirtz (80')
Bailey (73'), Diaby (78')
Brandt (67')
Hummels (90+1'), Delaney (90+3')
Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
4-3
Dortmund
Volland (20', 43'), Bailey (81'), Bender (82')
Bender (35'), Volland (67')
Hummels (22'), Can (33'), Guerreiro (65')
Guerreiro (39')
Sep 14, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Dortmund
4-0
B. Leverkusen
Alcacer (28'), Reus (51', 90'), Guerreiro (83')

Wendell (35'), Havertz (52'), Amiri (85')
Feb 24, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 23
Dortmund
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Zagadou (30'), Sancho (38'), Gotze (60')
Guerreiro (74')
Volland (37'), Tah (75')
Jedvaj (59'), Tah (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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