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Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
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VfL Bochum
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Dortmund logo

B. Leverkusen
3 - 4
Dortmund

Wirtz (9'), Schick (45+1'), Diaby (55')
Wirtz (60'), Frimpong (70'), Odilon (75'), Diaby (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Braut Haaland (37', 77' pen.), Brandt (49'), Guerreiro (71')
Meunier (20'), Braut Haaland (60'), Wolf (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
30.84%23.54%45.62%
Both teams to score 61.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.61%40.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.23%62.77%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66%25.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87%60.13%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99%18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.12%48.87%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 30.84%
    Borussia Dortmund 45.62%
    Draw 23.53%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.37%
1-0 @ 6.26%
2-0 @ 4.3%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.84%
1-1 @ 10.73%
2-2 @ 6.32%
0-0 @ 4.56%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 9.21%
0-1 @ 7.82%
0-2 @ 6.71%
1-3 @ 5.26%
0-3 @ 3.83%
2-3 @ 3.61%
1-4 @ 2.26%
0-4 @ 1.64%
2-4 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 45.62%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen
46.5%
Draw
18.6%
Borussia Dortmund
34.9%
129
Head to Head
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Dortmund
3-1
B. Leverkusen
Braut Haaland (5', 84'), Reus (51')
Bender (89' pen.)
Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Dortmund
Diaby (14'), Wirtz (80')
Bailey (73'), Diaby (78')
Brandt (67')
Hummels (90+1'), Delaney (90+3')
Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
4-3
Dortmund
Volland (20', 43'), Bailey (81'), Bender (82')
Bender (35'), Volland (67')
Hummels (22'), Can (33'), Guerreiro (65')
Guerreiro (39')
Sep 14, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Dortmund
4-0
B. Leverkusen
Alcacer (28'), Reus (51', 90'), Guerreiro (83')

Wendell (35'), Havertz (52'), Amiri (85')
Feb 24, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 23
Dortmund
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Zagadou (30'), Sancho (38'), Gotze (60')
Guerreiro (74')
Volland (37'), Tah (75')
Jedvaj (59'), Tah (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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