MX23RW : Sunday, September 15 12:37:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Fluminense

Fortaleza
1 - 0
Fluminense

FT(HT: 0-0)

Elias Nogueira (74'), Cano (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasco 2-0 Fortaleza
Thursday, July 4 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Internacional
Friday, July 5 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Fortaleza 1-0 Fluminense

While the draw last week would have been a welcome point for Fluminense following a torrid run of results, they were far from convincing in the match and did not do enough to suggest a complete turnaround in form is to be expected right away. Fortaleza have been excellent at home so far this season and are on a five-match winning streak in all competitions. We feel they will add to that record with another victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 20.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawFluminense
55.03% (-1.946 -1.95) 24.2% (0.154 0.15) 20.77% (1.793 1.79)
Both teams to score 49.23% (2.254 2.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.37% (1.582 1.58)51.62% (-1.581 -1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.59% (1.36 1.36)73.41% (-1.358 -1.36)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (-0.137 -0.14)18.65% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.03% (-0.232 -0.23)49.97% (0.233 0.23)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.52% (2.868 2.87)39.48% (-2.867 -2.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83% (2.566 2.57)76.17% (-2.565 -2.57)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 55.02%
    Fluminense 20.77%
    Draw 24.2%
FortalezaDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 12.36% (-0.86 -0.86)
2-0 @ 10.38% (-0.77 -0.77)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.81% (-0.459 -0.46)
3-1 @ 5.4% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.195 0.2)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.204 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 55.02%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.36% (-0.476 -0.48)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.367 0.37)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.2%
0-1 @ 6.84% (0.107 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.34% (0.459 0.46)
0-2 @ 3.18% (0.286 0.29)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.256 0.26)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.21 0.21)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.156 0.16)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 20.77%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Fluminense

Fortaleza
76.7%
Draw
10.0%
Fluminense
13.3%
30
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Fluminense
1-0
Fortaleza
Barbosa (90+2')
Barbosa (26'), Xavier (30'), Kennedy (45'), Diniz (45+3'), Andre (90+4')

Britez (28'), Welison (42'), Escobar (90+1')
Apr 29, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Fortaleza
4-2
Fluminense
Galhardo (29'), Moises (35', 60'), Hercules (79')
Carvalho (45+2'), Kennedy (69')
Sep 10, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 26
Fluminense
2-1
Fortaleza
Cano (11', 57')
Galhardo (51')
Aug 18, 2022 12am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Fluminense
2-2
Fortaleza
Ganso (64' pen.), Cano (72')
Ganso (11'), Manoel (77'), Melo (90+9')
Nino (12' og.), Romero (45+1')
Romero (34'), Hercules (39')
Jul 29, 2022 12.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Fortaleza
0-1
Fluminense
Capixaba (10'), Sasha (25'), Crispim (47')
Nonato (16')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo26165545252053
2FortalezaFortaleza2614753225749
3PalmeirasPalmeiras25145638191947
4FlamengoFlamengo24135639281144
5Cruzeiro2512583426841
6Sao Paulo2512583326741
7Bahia2511683427739
8InternacionalInternacional239862420435
9Vasco da GamaVasco24104102934-534
10Atletico Mineiro238963233-133
11BragantinoBragantino2486102930-130
12Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR2486102729-230
13JuventudeJuventude2578102935-629
14CriciumaCriciuma2477103235-328
15Gremio2383122328-527
16Fluminense2476112026-627
17Vitoria2674152839-1125
18Corinthians26510112333-1025
19Cuiaba2457122335-1222
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2646162142-2118


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